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Archive for October 31st, 2009|Daily archive page

Arsenal v Spurs betting preview

In Betting preview, Top Tips on October 31, 2009 at 11:31

ARSENAL v TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

Premier League, Saturday, October 31st

The Emirates, kickoff 12.45pm

 

For a massive psychological boost, Arsenal really need to put one over Spurs in the Saturday lunchtime match. Chelsea don’t play until 3pm, and Manchester Utd aren’t taking the field until the evening, so for a few hours at least, Arsenal could see themselves slide into second place in the Premier League.

That’s not bad for a team who were written off by every pundit known to man before the season began.

It’s no secret that Arsenal are playing scintillating football this season and are scoring goals with considerable ease. However, they are leaking goals and have kept just five clean sheets in all competitions this season.

On the other hand, Spurs desperately need a win too.  A win over the Gunners would put them level on points with United and within shouting distance of top spot – a massive confidence booster to all at White Hart Lane.

Spurs showed great character in bouncing back in style from their home defeat against Stoke last weekend by pushing aside Everton mid-week in the League Cup. There is little doubt that Harry Redknapp has his squad in the best possible condition both physically and mentally. One worrying aspect of their play is their tendency to leak goals. To have conceded 14 goals in 10 league games is not title winning defending but it is their ability to regularly score at the other end of the pitch that has Spurs in their best position for many a year.

Roy Keane, Jermaine Defoe and Jermaine Jenas have been in prolific form while Aaron Lennon is surely playing the best football of his career. However, disappointingly for Redknapp, Defoe (suspended) and Lennon (ankle) will miss out on this big game. Peter Crouch is available for this game but other Spurs’ absentees are Cudicin, Woodgate, dos Santos, Modric and Ledley King.

For the Gunners, Almunia is available to play, as is Nasri, though he is likely to start on the bench. Fabianski, Rosicky and Walcott will all miss out through injury.

It will be intriguing to find out how both teams will cope with each other’s attacking qualities.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

There have been six meetings between Arsenal and Spurs in the last two seasons. A draw has been the most common result occurring three times, including a 4-4 thriller at The Emirates almost exactly a year ago to the day. The Gunners have won twice, while Spurs have beaten their big rivals just the once. However, Spurs record against Arsenal has been improving over the past few years and with the Spurs squad in as good a shape as it is, another good result could be on the cards.

 

VERDICT

Defoe’s suspension and Lennon’s injury will make this already tough game for Spurs even tougher. However, in Peter Crouch they have a very effective replacement for Defoe. He will cause aeriel problems for Arsenal and it will be interesting to see how the Arsenal back-line cope with him.

With both defences liable to leak goals, and both strike forces liable to grab goals, expect the ball to hit the back of the net more than once in this encounter.

If you search, you could find 1.80 available for both teams to score during the match which is surely a guaranteed outcome.

Arsenal will not walk through this game by any means, but it is very difficult to find value in this match without getting too worked up in the obscure bets. The bookmakers seem to have got their sums right. With home advantage, Arsenal are worthy favourites and should overcome a tough battle against a lively Spurs outfit. To turn a profit in this game, back a home win, and all variations of it.

 

RECOMMENDED

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE                1.80 (available)

ARSENAL TO WIN             1.59 BETFAIR

HALF-TIME/FULL-TIME  Arsenal 2.58 BETFAIR

 

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