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Posts Tagged ‘Liverpool’

Statistical conclusions

In Betting preview, Soccerball, Top Tips on February 24, 2012 at 21:07

Exciting title, or wha?

Chelsea v Bolton (Saturday 3pm)
Out of 18 home games in all comps this season, Chelsea have won with a clean sheet in six of them – that’s a strike rate of 66%. In their last three meetings with Bolton at Stamford Bridge, Bolton have failed to score. Chelsea will not have a better chance of getting back to winning ways than this Saturday.

Chelsea to win with a clean sheet YES EVS.

Newcastle v Wolves (Saturday 3pm)

Wolves have gone 22 league games since their last clean sheet. Newcastle havent exactly been fluid in scoring in their home games, averaging about 1.5 goals per home game with Demba Ba scoring around 44% of their goals. Looks like a low-scoring game but if the Magpies were to score, Demba Ba would be the man to score it.

SCORECAST Newcatle to win 1-0 and Demba Ba to score 18/1.

QPR v Fulham

QPR’s home record is fairly dreadful – just two wins in 12.
Couple that with Fulham’s apparent travel sickness – one win in 12 – and you have a London derby for the purists.
Mark Hughes hasn’t quite got his new squad firing on all cylinders yet but they do have a decent strike force available with the likes of Djibril Cisse, Federico Macheda and Bobby Zamora in their ranks.
There has been an average of three goals scored in total in QPR’s last three home games and Fulham’s last three away goals.

TOTAL GOALS U/O 2.5 Over EVS.

West Brom v Sunderland

West Brom are on a cold run of form, having lost six of their last eight home league games, while Sunderland are on a roll under the guidance of Martin O’Neill, winning four of their last six games on the road.
In those six games, the Black Cats have averaged two goals per game, while WBA’s last three home games have all finished 2-1 to the away side.

CORRECT SCORE Sunderland to win 2-1 9/1.

Wigan v Aston Villa
Gabriel Agbonlahor likes the JJB – the striker has scored on three of his last four visits to the ground. The 25-year-old has netted in 25% of his appearances for Villa this season – he’s due a goal because he hasn’t scored on his last three outings.

FIRST GOALSCORER Gabriel Agbonlahor 15/2.

Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur

10 out of 21 arsenal home games have seen Gunners score mor than one goal, so more than half the time, Arsenal score one or less goals, while almost half of Spurs away games have seen the London side score one or less goals. The historical data indicates that there have been three goals or more in 14 of the last 16 North London derbies. Buck the trend and respect current form.

TOAL GOALS U/O 2.5 Under EVS.

CARLING CUP FINAL
Liverpool v Cardiff (Sunday 4pm)

Liverpool have scored 25 goals in their nine cup games this season, but surprisingly have only kept clean sheets against Chelsea and Manchester City in those nine cup ties. That means Liverpool have leaked goals against lower league opposition like Brighton (twice), Oldham and Exeter. Expect Cardiff to have their moment in the sun on Sunday afternoon.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Yes 11/10.

Liverpool 1-0 Everton match report

In Soccerball on February 6, 2010 at 15:15

Liverpool 1-0 Everton

Ultra-consistent Dirk Kuyt saved the day for 10-man Liverpool by nodding home his 10th goal of the season to send the Anfield faithful delirious in what was an aggressive 213th Merseyside derby.

A beautifully delivered corner from Liverpool captain Steven Gerrard had Everton goalkeeper Tim Howard flapping in front of Kuyt, who took full advantage by nodding the ball downwards into an empty net despite close attention from Phil Neville.

Up until the goal in the 54th minute, Everton had been holding their own against a Liverpool side unbeaten in their previous six Premier League matches. However, the Toffeemen failed to make their numerical advantage pay dividends much to their manager’s frustrations.

Everton started brightly in the opening 10-minutes and took the game to Liverpool with an array of tough tackles.

Thorn in Liverpool’s side Landon Donovan set out his stall as early as the second minute when getting in behind the Liverpool defence to win a corner from a Marouane Fellaini through ball.

Everton continued to cause the Liverpool defence problems, especially from set-pieces. A corner from the left had Kyrgiakos and Fellaini tussling at the back post, with Greece defender Kyrgiakos eventually ending up on the ground and winning a free kick.

However, Liverpool soon found their feet and a fluid passing move from one end of the pitch to the other resulted in a cross from Carragher on the right being lashed over the bar from Lucas.

Kuyt was booked for a challenge on Donovan around 25 yards from goal. A curled free kick by left-footed Baines had Reina at full stretch to tip it over the bar.

 An explosive high-tempo midfield battle was threatening to boil over approaching the half-hour mark.

Kuyt was kicked in the face by Fellaini after being chopped down by Pienaar and just moments later Pienaar was lucky receive just a yellow card following a very high lunge on Javier Mascherano. Seconds later Carragher was booked for an old-school retaliation on Pienaar deep into Everton territory.

A decisive moment came in the 34th minute when Kyrgiakos slid in with a two-footed block on Fellaini. Replays suggested that both Fellaini and Kyrgiakos could have seen red for that clash, having both gone at each other with two high feet. However, it was Fellaini who came off worst physically and was stretchered off, needing six minutes of treatment on his right ankle before the physio admitted defeat and Mikel Arteta entered the fray. In the meantime, a visibly frustrated Kyrgiakos was sent off by referee Martin Atkinson.

In a first half heaving with strong challenges, a highly motivated Jamie Carragher was leading by example, marshalling the home sides’ defence and keeping the Everton forwards at bay. He started the game at right back, and within seconds of the match kicking off, clobbered Pienaar. The strong, full-blooded challenges continued from the Liverpool vice-captain, who switched to central defence after Kyrgiakos’s dismissal, and continued to dominate and clear anything Everton threw in his direction.

Minutes before half-time, Gerrard controlled a ball 25 yards from goal but went over quite easily from Cahill’s lunging leg. Gerrard took the free-kick himself and his curling effort pinged the crossbar, just out of reach of Howard’s out-stretched fingertips.

However, best chance of the first-half fell to Cahill, who had a free header at the back post from six yards out. A misdirected defensive header from Mascherano found its way to Cahill on the back post and with Reina scrambling across his goal line, Cahill’s diving effort brushed the top of the bar.

Liverpool started the second full of gusto and immediately put the Everton defence under pressure. The Reds won a corner which was dealt with effectively and Everton countered through Donovan, whose pace was too much for Insua. He played in Cahill whose drive was saved well by Reina.

The Kop showed their appreciation for Mascherano, who chased and harried the Everton attackers single-handedly on the left-hand side of the Liverpool penalty box and eventually blocked an attempted cross.

Liverpool regained the upper hand and started to control the pace of the game. They were rewarded with Kuyt’s simple headed goal from which Everton were visibly shaken by the goal and took them some time to recover. Moments later, Gerrard had a free kick easily saved by Howard and also caused some problems from a corner.

Late on, a sliding challenge from Gerrard on Pienaar, who was already going to ground from a Mascherano tackle, caused a mêlée in the middle of the pitch, with substitute Anchibe retaliating most. Both he and Gerrard were booked for their parts in the tussle.

Anchibe could have carved a decent scoring chance for Everton as he took a touch too many deep inside the right-hand side of the Liverpool box, but his attempted cross was charged down by a sliding defender and collected at the second attempt by a grateful Reina.

Pienaar was sent off deep into injury time for a second bookable offence. He challenge Gerrard late in the air and referee Atkinson had no hesitation in brandishing a second yellow to the South African.

Kuyt was substituted with just seconds remaining on the clock to a standing ovation. As the final whistle  blew, the Anfield crowd roared their approval at their sides’ hard fought victory again their city rivals and the winning of three vital points to lift the Reds into the much-coveted fourth place in the league.

Soccer picks for February 6th, 2010

In Betting preview, Soccerball on February 6, 2010 at 10:45

Here’s a few brief tips I’ve come up with by scouring the Saturday morning papers.

Liverpool v Everton — HOME — 5/6

Tottenham v Aston Villa — HOME — 23/20

Nottm Forest v Sheffield Wed — HOME — 8/13

Swindon v Charlton — HOME — 6/4

Wycombe W v Yeovil — HOME — 13/10

Hereford v Torquay — HOME — 13/10

Rochdale v Crewe — HOME — 4/6

East Fife v Dumbarton — AWAY — 7/4

East Stirling v Berwick — AWAY — 11/4 (great value)

For more tips, and in-depth previews on the Liverpool/Everton and Spurs/Villa games, go to www.sportsnewsireland.com . (Also preview of Sunday’s Chelsea/Arsenal game.

Top Tips 3 – Cheltenham Friday 2009

In Top Tips on March 13, 2009 at 12:23

Today is Cheltenham Gold Cup Day. It should be a terrific day’s racing.

I’m a traditionalist. I like Kauto Star and can’t see past him in the feature race of the day.  There will be challengers to his crown but Kauto has the class, talent and the jockey (Ruby Walsh) to regain his Gold Cup crown. At the time of writing, you can easily get 15/8.

Overall it is a competitive day of racing. The opening race is the JCB Triumph Hurdle and any number of the runners could win it.

The form points to Walkon winning this one but I have a sneaking feeling that Silk Drum could run a huge race at a huge price. He has good form behind him and has been consistently improving over his past couple of runs. And the key is that he stays beyond the two miles he’ll face here, a vital compenent needed to get up the Cheltenham hill. If you’re quick, you may get 50/1 about him winning.

In the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle, I’m going to plump for Hangover. He won on soft ground at Gowran Park last month over this trip and also won on similar ground over two miles and five furlongs at Limerick at Christmas.  Additionally, he has as super jockey on board in Paul Townend. You can easily get 12/1 on Conor O’Dwyer’s charge winning this one.

In the Premier League over the weekend, there are no stand out bets at all, though there is a stand out match. Manchester United take on Liverpool in a game Liverpool must win to have any chance of winning the title. It’ll probably end up a draw.

If I simply had to have a bet in this weekend’s fixtures, I’d side with a Bolton/Fulham draw. Bolton are rubbish at home and Fulham are rubbish way having drawn half of their matches. In fact, because they’ve only scored three goals away, why not lump on a No Goalscorer in this one?

 

Any thoughts anyone?

Top tips – Cheltenham Wednesday

In Top Tips on March 11, 2009 at 10:22

Right. cheltenham is capturing the hearts and pockets of punters nationwide this week but there aren’t too many nice bets today.

Yesterday was much better. I backed Celestial Halo, L’Ami and Quevega as part of a Lucky 15 each-way. However, I’ll only be collecting a small amount.

Today, I won’t be having a bet…..but if i was, this is what I would do.

I’d do a Lucky 15 combining tonight’s football and today’s racing at Cheltenham.

Firstly, Mikael D’Hagenuet. Needs soft ground and has four times in Ireland for Willie Mullins on that type of ground. He could have done with more rain at Cheltenham but this is a horse I like a lot and he could be winning the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle at around 4/1 today.

Secondly, Master Minded. An absolute machine who will win easy bar a disaster. However, at odds of around 1/3 he is best included in a Lucky 15.

Now, on to the football.

After Liverpool’s brilliant win in the Champion’s League last night, and Chelsea’s win, English football is on a high. This will continue tonight. I can’t see either Arsenal or Manchester United not getting through. However, because I’m a Liverpool fan, I cannot back Man Utd. Therefore, I’m concentrating on Arsenal’s match with Roma.

Arsenal hold a 1-0 lead from the first leg, and I don’t see them crumbling tonight. Roma have a fair home record this season but I don’t see them breaking through what will be a very organised Arsenal team. I’m plumping for a draw in that one at odds of around 9/4.

Now, back to the Premier League. Fulham play Blackburn at Craven Cottage. Fulham’s form has dipped lately but their home record is fairly solid. Blackburn on the other hand, have been very hit and miss all season and currently lie in the relegation zone. Furthermore, their away form is terrible having only won three out of 13 games on their travels this season. I’m fancying Fulham at odds of slightly over 5/4.

 

A Lucky 15 at the odds quoted costs €15 and will return a lovely €192.38 if they all win. 

Oh sit down!